kojixahi
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Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 2:29 pm

I had to refresh 12 (twelve) times to have Ling Ling stones appear once in the store. The chance for this is astronomical on equal odds. After buying it I refreshed it the 13th time and - surprise, surprise, no stones again.

Anyone had better odds or this is another artificial low rate hidden under "randomness" by the developers?
 
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HunterXHunter
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 2:42 pm

I refreshed 5 times and didn't see a single SS.

there are 13 heroes in CoF shop right now, and there are 6 SS slots. so there is a 46% (approx, IMHO) chance to see Ling in an Refresh.
[YOU AND I WILL DEFEAT THIS BUG TOGETHER.....]

http://bit.ly/1ZTctlk
 
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megachirops
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 3:02 pm

It's about 62‰ to not see Lingling in any particular refresh. About 0.3‰ to go 12 without seeing her. But with 10's of thousands of players (at least) there are going to be dozens, possibly 100's of people that go 12 refreshes without seeing a particular hero.

But yes, it definitely sucks when it's *you* that "wins (loses?) the lottery".
 
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mmmmmmmmmmmm
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 4:24 pm

rng lottery nothing more. some days it could be all ling ling. lilith's way to control progress
 
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KemosabeTBC
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 6:45 pm

Yep. statistically it's pretty normal that this happens.

I got ling ling on my first refresh btw
 
GlowingFruit
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 8:37 pm

Too bad for you :/
For me, she was there before I even restock COF store.
 
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natsu
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Thu Apr 27, 2017 11:01 pm

HunterXHunter wrote:
I refreshed 5 times and didn't see a single SS.

there are 13 heroes in CoF shop right now, and there are 6 SS slots. so there is a 46% (approx, IMHO) chance to see Ling in an Refresh.

This is not how you calculate probability. I understand where you get 46%, 6/13. According to you, if there are 2 heroes and 2 SS slots then there is a 100% chance. No, it's 75% chance to see LingLing. LingLing in slot 1 , in slot 2 , in both or none which is 3/4. It is actually less than 1% , around .38% chance to see LingLing.
 
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HunterXHunter
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Fri Apr 28, 2017 3:25 am

natsu wrote:
HunterXHunter wrote:
I refreshed 5 times and didn't see a single SS.

there are 13 heroes in CoF shop right now, and there are 6 SS slots. so there is a 46% (approx, IMHO) chance to see Ling in an Refresh.

This is not how you calculate probability. I understand where you get 46%, 6/13. According to you, if there are 2 heroes and 2 SS slots then there is a 100% chance. No, it's 75% chance to see LingLing. LingLing in slot 1 , in slot 2 , in both or none which is 3/4. It is actually less than 1% , around .38% chance to see LingLing.


thanks :)
[YOU AND I WILL DEFEAT THIS BUG TOGETHER.....]

http://bit.ly/1ZTctlk
 
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Themos
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Fri Apr 28, 2017 9:12 am

I may be the lucky one, i saw her in two spots the same day she was added to the shop.
 
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Mang
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Re: Ling Ling chance on COF store

Fri Apr 28, 2017 10:55 am

More the heroes in the shop, harder is to get a specific SS.

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